La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ahli v Al-Kholood
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ahli (Local)
Predicción 74.41%1.34momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -3.72%
Kelly -17.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.12%74.39%74.82%78.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.231.231.2884.03%81.43%81.30%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Kholood (Visitante)
Predicción 9.23%10.83momio equitativo
EV +16.32%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.230%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.71%9.21%9.16%9.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.009.869.5012.6011.11%10.14%10.53%7.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.36%6.11momio equitativo
EV +14.04%
Ventaja +2.01%
Kelly +2.35%
Crecimiento +0.330%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.94%16.40%16.01%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.555.506.9722.22%18.02%18.18%14.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.71%EV +16.32%E +1.30%K +1.41%G +0.230% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.94%EV +14.04%E +2.01%K +2.35%G +0.330% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -8.48%E -6.89%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 11.12I 8.99%NM 8.45%EV +2.66%E +0.239%K +0.263%G +0.007% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +1.44%E +0.232%K +0.277%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -9.22%E -7.56%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -3.06%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -5.11%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -5.11%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +1.55%E +0.141%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +1.55%E +0.141%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.83%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -11.46%E -9.63%K -60.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 17:52 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.76%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.76%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.48%E -6.89%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -9.22%E -7.56%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.12%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.65%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -26.37%E -5.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.44% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.70% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.65% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.19% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |