La scuola delle quote

Al-Ahli v Al-Ittihad

Inizio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Ahli (Casa)

Previsione 48.41%2.07quota equa
EV -5.60%
Vantaggio -2.87%
Kelly -5.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.46%48.48%48.39%51.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.831.831.9558.14%54.69%54.64%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ittihad (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.48%3.78quota equa
EV +7.51%
Vantaggio +1.85%
Kelly +2.46%
Crescita +0.184%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.65%26.43%26.39%27.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.623.604.0631.25%27.65%27.78%24.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.11%3.98quota equa
EV -3.07%
Vantaggio -0.796%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.20%25.09%25.23%26.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.643.703.8631.25%27.50%27.03%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -6.57%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.89%EV +7.51%E +1.85%K +2.46%G +0.184%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:10
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -14.80%E -8.41%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 18:10
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -14.80%E -8.41%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 18:10
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -16.74%E -9.73%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -0.697%E -0.186%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -16.74%E -9.73%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -0.697%E -0.186%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:10
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:55
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -2.82%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.796%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.41%E -6.24%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 18:56
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -16.25%E -9.40%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.65%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-06 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.85%EV -9.96%E -5.35%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -7.85%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -8.85%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:41
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.64%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:40
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.40%EV -10.49%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.35%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -11.29%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 18:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -11.41%E -6.24%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.26%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%3.3%2026-03-06 18:55