L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ahli v Al-Ittihad
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ahli (Local)
Prévision 48.41%2.07cote équitable
EV -5.60%
Avantage -2.87%
Kelly -5.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.46%48.48%48.39%51.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.831.831.9558.14%54.69%54.64%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Ittihad (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.48%3.78cote équitable
EV +7.51%
Avantage +1.85%
Kelly +2.46%
Croissance +0.184%
avec la cote maximale 4.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.65%26.43%26.39%27.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.604.0631.25%27.65%27.78%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -0.796%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.09%25.23%26.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.643.703.8631.25%27.50%27.03%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -6.57%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.89%EV +7.51%E +1.85%K +2.46%G +0.184% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -14.80%E -8.41%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -14.80%E -8.41%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -16.74%E -9.73%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -0.697%E -0.186%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -16.74%E -9.73%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -0.697%E -0.186%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -2.82%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.796%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.41%E -6.24%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 18:56 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -16.25%E -9.40%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.65%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.85%EV -9.96%E -5.35%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -7.85%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -8.85%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.64%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.40%EV -10.49%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.35%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -11.29%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -11.41%E -6.24%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.26%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |