La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ahli v Al-Ittihad
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ahli (Local)
Predicción 48.41%2.07momio equitativo
EV -5.60%
Ventaja -2.87%
Kelly -5.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.46%48.48%48.39%51.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.831.831.9558.14%54.69%54.64%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Ittihad (Visitante)
Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV +7.51%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +2.46%
Crecimiento +0.184%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.65%26.43%26.39%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.604.0631.25%27.65%27.78%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.11%3.98momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -0.796%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.20%25.09%25.23%26.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.643.703.8631.25%27.50%27.03%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -6.57%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.89%EV +7.51%E +1.85%K +2.46%G +0.184% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -13.83%E -7.77%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -14.80%E -8.41%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -14.80%E -8.41%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +1.95%E +0.507%K +0.685%G +0.013% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -16.74%E -9.73%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -0.697%E -0.186%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -16.74%E -9.73%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -0.697%E -0.186%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.41%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -2.82%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.796%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.41%E -6.24%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 18:56 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.86%E -7.15%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -16.25%E -9.40%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.65%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.85%EV -9.96%E -5.35%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -7.85%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -8.85%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.64%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -10.44%E -5.65%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.40%EV -10.49%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.35%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -11.29%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -11.41%E -6.24%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.26%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-06 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |