Language:English
Al-Ahli v Abha Club
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ahli (Local)
Prediction 76.62%1.31fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -16.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.28%76.66%76.64%78.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.191.2586.21%83.66%84.39%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Abha Club (Visit)
Prediction 9.07%11.02fair odd
EV +11.61%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.119%
assuming max odds 12.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.62%9.09%9.01%10.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.1810.0012.3011.11%9.82%10.00%8.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.31%6.99fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +0.437%
Kelly +0.508%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 7.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.07%14.26%14.35%16.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.096.007.2118.52%16.43%16.67%13.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ahli (Local): 76.62%; Abha Club (Visit): 9.07%; Draw: 14.31%. For Abha Club (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.80%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 12.30I 8.13%NM 7.62%EV +11.61%E +0.944%K +1.03%G +0.119% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.57%EV -1.14%E -0.165%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +8.89%E +0.741%K +0.808%G +0.072% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +8.89%E +0.741%K +0.808%G +0.072% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 10:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 14:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.92%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -4.14%E -0.618%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +0.148%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 08:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-21 08:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.24%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 9.72I 10.29%NM 9.69%EV -11.80%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.07%EV +3.15%E +0.437%K +0.508%G +0.016% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.54%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.76%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -10.58%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 08:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.42%EV -11.12%E -9.59%K -69.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.59%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.99%EV -22.74%E -4.21%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.27% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.89% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.52% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59% | 2.2% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |