預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Al-Ahli v Abha Club

開賽時間: 2026-08-22 18:00 UTC

最終賽果: Al-Ahli 4–0 Abha Club

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Al-Ahli (主隊)

預測 76.62%1.31公平賠率
EV -4.23%
優勢 -3.38%
Kelly -16.90%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.25

博彩公司預測分布
74.28%76.66%76.64%78.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.161.201.191.2586.21%83.66%84.39%80.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Abha Club (客隊)

預測 9.07%11.02公平賠率
EV +11.61%
優勢 +0.944%
Kelly +1.03%
成長率 +0.119%

假設最高賠率為 12.30

博彩公司預測分布
7.62%9.09%9.01%10.12%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0010.1810.0012.3011.11%9.82%10.00%8.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 14.31%6.99公平賠率
EV +3.15%
優勢 +0.437%
Kelly +0.508%
成長率 +0.016%

假設最高賠率為 7.21

博彩公司預測分布
13.07%14.26%14.35%16.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.406.096.007.2118.52%16.43%16.67%13.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Al-Ahli (主隊):76.62%;Abha Club (客隊):9.07%;和局:14.31%。 對於「Abha Club (客隊)」,該估計相當於11.02的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為12.30,對應+11.61%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.80%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.44%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.62%EV +11.61%E +0.944%K +1.03%G +0.119%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.57%EV -1.14%E -0.165%K -0.193%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +8.89%E +0.741%K +0.808%G +0.072%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +8.89%E +0.741%K +0.808%G +0.072%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 08:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 14:59
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 10:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 14:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.92%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -4.14%E -0.618%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +0.148%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 08:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 08:54
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 15:04
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:05
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 08:49
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.24%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.69%EV -11.80%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.07%EV +3.15%E +0.437%K +0.508%G +0.016%6.1%2026-08-22 14:05
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.54%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.76%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -10.58%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 74.42%EV -11.12%E -9.59%K -69.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.59%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.99%EV -22.74%E -4.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-21 21:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31%1.6%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31%1.6%2026-08-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.27%1.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 78.89%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.52%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59%2.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-08-22 11:05