Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Ahli v Abha Club

Inizio: 2026-08-22 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Ahli 4–0 Abha Club

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Ahli (Casa)

Previsione 76.62%1.31quota equa
EV -4.23%
Vantaggio -3.38%
Kelly -16.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.28%76.66%76.64%78.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.201.191.2586.21%83.66%84.39%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Abha Club (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.07%11.02quota equa
EV +11.61%
Vantaggio +0.944%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.119%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.62%9.09%9.01%10.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0010.1810.0012.3011.11%9.82%10.00%8.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 14.31%6.99quota equa
EV +3.15%
Vantaggio +0.437%
Kelly +0.508%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.07%14.26%14.35%16.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.096.007.2118.52%16.43%16.67%13.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Ahli (Casa): 76.62%; Abha Club (Trasferta): 9.07%; Pareggio: 14.31%. Per Abha Club (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 11.02. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 12.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.61%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.80%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.44%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.62%EV +11.61%E +0.944%K +1.03%G +0.119%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.57%EV -1.14%E -0.165%K -0.193%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +8.89%E +0.741%K +0.808%G +0.072%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +8.89%E +0.741%K +0.808%G +0.072%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 08:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 14:59
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.23%E -3.38%K -16.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 10:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 14:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.92%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -4.14%E -0.618%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +0.148%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 08:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 08:54
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -0.186%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 15:04
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:05
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.36%E -8.85%K -60.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -9.26%E -0.926%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 08:49
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.24%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.69%EV -11.80%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.07%EV +3.15%E +0.437%K +0.508%G +0.016%6.1%2026-08-22 14:05
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -19.88%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.54%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -13.80%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -21.31%E -3.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.06%E -6.71%K -40.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.01%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.76%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -10.58%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -9.59%E -8.13%K -53.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -14.16%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 74.42%EV -11.12%E -9.59%K -69.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.59%EV -18.33%E -2.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.99%EV -22.74%E -4.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-21 21:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31%1.6%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.29%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31%1.6%2026-08-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.27%1.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 78.89%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.52%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59%2.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-08-22 11:05