Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Vitória SC v Tondela

Początek: 2026-04-03 17:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Vitória SC (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.18%1.99kurs godziwy
EV -1.15%
Przewaga -0.582%
Kelly -1.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.97

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.08%50.32%50.13%52.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.711.831.851.9758.48%54.73%54.05%50.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Tondela (Goście)

Prognoza 22.75%4.40kurs godziwy
EV +4.64%
Przewaga +1.01%
Kelly +1.29%
Wzrost +0.060%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.21%22.62%22.75%24.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.224.204.6026.67%23.68%23.81%21.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.07%3.69kurs godziwy
EV -1.72%
Przewaga -0.475%
Kelly -0.656%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.86%27.06%27.12%28.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.433.453.6333.33%29.16%28.99%27.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Vitória SC (Gospodarze): 50.18%; Tondela (Goście): 22.75%; Remis: 27.07%. Dla wyniku Tondela (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.40. 19 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.60, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.64%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 16:09
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 16:50
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -13.19%E -7.62%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 16:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -13.19%E -7.62%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.088%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -14.19%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV +0.088%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.17%E -5.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.19%E -0.508%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -2.19%E -0.508%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -3.15%E -1.63%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -2.41%E -0.563%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.50%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 16:45
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.71%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -3.32%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 16:55
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.85%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -5.60%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -6.67%E -3.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.87%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 16:55
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 16:44
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%EV -1.15%E -0.582%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV -8.10%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -1.72%E -0.475%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 16:40
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -9.17%E -5.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 16:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 16:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 16:54
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -7.67%E -4.17%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.70%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -18.78%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-03 16:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-03 16:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-03 16:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%3.9%2026-04-03 16:55