L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vitória SC v Tondela
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vitória SC (Local)
Prévision 50.18%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.582%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.08%50.32%50.13%52.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.831.851.9758.48%54.73%54.05%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tondela (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.75%4.40cote équitable
EV +4.64%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.060%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.21%22.62%22.75%24.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.224.204.6026.67%23.68%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.475%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%27.06%27.12%28.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.433.453.6333.33%29.16%28.99%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -13.19%E -7.62%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -13.19%E -7.62%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.088%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -14.19%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV +0.088%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.17%E -5.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.19%E -0.508%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -2.19%E -0.508%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -3.15%E -1.63%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -2.41%E -0.563%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.50%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.71%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -3.32%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.85%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -5.60%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -6.67%E -3.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.87%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 16:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%EV -1.15%E -0.582%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV -8.10%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -1.72%E -0.475%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 16:40 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -9.17%E -5.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -7.67%E -4.17%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.70%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -18.78%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |