La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vitória SC v Tondela
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vitória SC (Local)
Predicción 50.18%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.582%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.08%50.32%50.13%52.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.831.851.9758.48%54.73%54.05%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tondela (Visitante)
Predicción 22.75%4.40momio equitativo
EV +4.64%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.060%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.21%22.62%22.75%24.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.224.204.6026.67%23.68%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.656%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%27.06%27.12%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.453.6333.33%29.16%28.99%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -11.18%E -6.32%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV +4.64%E +1.01%K +1.29%G +0.060% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -11.68%E -6.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -13.19%E -7.62%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -13.19%E -7.62%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV +2.36%E +0.525%K +0.675%G +0.016% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.088%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -14.19%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV +0.088%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.17%E -5.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.19%E -0.508%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -2.19%E -0.508%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -3.15%E -1.63%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -2.41%E -0.563%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.50%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.71%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -3.32%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.85%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -5.60%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -6.67%E -3.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.87%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.74%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 16:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%EV -1.15%E -0.582%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV -8.10%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -1.72%E -0.475%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 16:40 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -9.17%E -5.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.66%E -3.01%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.17%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -7.67%E -4.17%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.70%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -18.78%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.92% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 16:55 |