Школа коэффициентов

Tondela v AVS Futebol SAD

Начало: 2026-03-21 20:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tondela (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.32%1.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.51%
Преимущество -1.87%
Kelly -3.99%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.88

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.80%51.28%51.27%52.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.811.821.8857.80%55.12%54.95%53.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

AVS Futebol SAD (Гости)

Прогноз 20.64%4.84справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.947%
Преимущество +0.194%
Kelly +0.243%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.89

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.53%20.67%20.65%22.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.504.504.8924.39%22.21%22.22%20.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.03%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.88%
Преимущество -0.538%
Kelly -0.753%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.76%28.05%28.08%29.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.07%29.85%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.10%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.71%EV +0.947%E +0.194%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.18%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 20:25
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV +0.121%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV +0.121%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:09
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -0.911%E -0.190%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:43
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -4.03%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV -1.94%E -0.409%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:09
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.633%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:14
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.633%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:14
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -2.98%E -0.633%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:38
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.57%E -3.03%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -2.72%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:34
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -8.13%E -4.54%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:00
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -8.13%E -4.54%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:19
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:44
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:49
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.16%E -5.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.16%E -5.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:00
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:44
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 16:29
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -3.56%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:05
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:10
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:04
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:10
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -9.16%E -5.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 51.93%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 20:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -10.61%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -10.61%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -11.23%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 15:34
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 19:54
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -15.36%E -3.75%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 15:34
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-03-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-03-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-03-21 20:25
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-03-21 18:50
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-03-21 20:25