L’École des cotes

Tondela v AVS Futebol SAD

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tondela (Local)

Prévision 51.32%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.80%51.28%51.27%52.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.811.821.8857.80%55.12%54.95%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AVS Futebol SAD (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.64%4.84cote équitable
EV +0.947%
Avantage +0.194%
Kelly +0.243%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.53%20.67%20.65%22.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.504.504.8924.39%22.21%22.22%20.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.03%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.538%
Kelly -0.753%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%28.05%28.08%29.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.07%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.10%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.71%EV +0.947%E +0.194%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.18%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 20:25
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV +0.121%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV +0.121%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:09
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -0.911%E -0.190%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:43
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -4.03%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV -1.94%E -0.409%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:09
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.633%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:14
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -2.98%E -0.633%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:14
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -2.98%E -0.633%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:38
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.57%E -3.03%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -2.72%E -0.785%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:34
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -8.13%E -4.54%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:00
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -8.13%E -4.54%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:19
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:44
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.03%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:49
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.16%E -5.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -9.16%E -5.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:00
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:44
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 16:29
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -3.56%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:05
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:10
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.14%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:04
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:10
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -9.16%E -5.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 51.93%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -9.17%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 20:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -10.61%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -10.61%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -11.23%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 15:34
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -13.30%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 19:54
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -15.36%E -3.75%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 15:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-03-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-03-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-03-21 20:25
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-03-21 18:50
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-03-21 20:25