Школа коэффициентов

Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente

Начало: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

Итог: Sporting Lisbon 3–0 Gil Vicente

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Хозяева)

Прогноз 78.98%1.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.27%
Преимущество -1.02%
Kelly -5.09%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.65%78.92%78.98%80.71%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.141.191.181.2587.72%84.35%84.75%80.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Gil Vicente (Гости)

Прогноз 8.00%12.50справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.96%
Преимущество +0.854%
Kelly +0.920%
Рост +0.110%

при максимальном коэффициенте 14.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
6.74%8.02%7.95%10.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
9.2511.4911.5014.0010.81%8.70%8.70%7.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 13.02%7.68справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.67%
Преимущество +1.26%
Kelly +1.42%
Рост +0.152%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.97%13.06%13.07%15.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.967.008.5018.18%14.37%14.29%11.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.70%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +10.67%E +1.26%K +1.42%G +0.152%7.2%2026-05-16 19:20
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.94%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 10.09%EV -22.75%E -2.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.97%EV +5.98%E +0.735%K +0.838%G +0.050%2.6%2026-05-16 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.16%E +0.520%K +0.594%G +0.025%7.0%2026-05-16 19:05
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.79%EV -9.17%E -7.97%K -61.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -16.03%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV +4.16%E +0.520%K +0.594%G +0.025%9.0%2026-05-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.97%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV +0.904%E +0.117%K +0.134%G +0.001%7.8%2026-05-16 19:20
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 80.71%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%13.69I 7.30%NM 6.96%EV +9.48%E +0.693%K +0.747%G +0.071%7.72I 12.95%NM 12.34%EV +0.514%E +0.067%K +0.076%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:25
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +11.96%E +0.854%K +0.920%G +0.110%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 19:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 19:20
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:20
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 78.80%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -3.65%E -0.494%K -0.571%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.04%EV +5.96%E +0.450%K +0.487%G +0.029%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -3.65%E -0.494%K -0.571%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:25
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -4.43%E -3.66%K -21.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 19:25
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.96%E +0.305%K +0.330%G +0.013%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:24
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.96%E +0.305%K +0.330%G +0.013%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.17%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.95%EV -6.03%E -0.513%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:19
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.58%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.17%EV -9.17%E -7.97%K -61.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.59%EV -9.96%E -8.74%K -71.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 77.72%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -6.26%E -0.869%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.53%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:44
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 19:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:20
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 17:15
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 17:15
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.58%EV -3.64%E -2.98%K -16.55%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -22.03%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:05
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.65%EV -2.06%E -1.66%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.03%E -2.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -14.07%E -2.13%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.65%EV -2.06%E -1.66%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.03%E -2.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -14.07%E -2.13%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:41
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 19:25
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:00
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 19:20
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:44
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.25%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 19:20
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:11
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 18:55
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 18:53
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -18.63%E -2.98%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.79%EV -9.96%E -8.74%K -71.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.29%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -28.39%E -5.16%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 17:18
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%0.4%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.90%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%0.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.90%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.84%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%0.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%2.0%2026-05-16 17:35