La scuola delle quote

Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente

Inizio: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

Finale: Sporting Lisbon 3–0 Gil Vicente

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Casa)

Previsione 78.98%1.27quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.65%78.92%78.98%80.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.191.181.2587.72%84.35%84.75%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gil Vicente (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.00%12.50quota equa
EV +11.96%
Vantaggio +0.854%
Kelly +0.920%
Crescita +0.110%

ipotizzando la quota massima 14.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.74%8.02%7.95%10.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.2511.4911.5014.0010.81%8.70%8.70%7.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 13.02%7.68quota equa
EV +10.67%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescita +0.152%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.97%13.06%13.07%15.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.967.008.5018.18%14.37%14.29%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.70%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +10.67%E +1.26%K +1.42%G +0.152%7.2%2026-05-16 19:20
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.94%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 10.09%EV -22.75%E -2.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.97%EV +5.98%E +0.735%K +0.838%G +0.050%2.6%2026-05-16 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.16%E +0.520%K +0.594%G +0.025%7.0%2026-05-16 19:05
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.79%EV -9.17%E -7.97%K -61.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -16.03%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV +4.16%E +0.520%K +0.594%G +0.025%9.0%2026-05-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.97%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV +0.904%E +0.117%K +0.134%G +0.001%7.8%2026-05-16 19:20
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 80.71%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%13.69I 7.30%NM 6.96%EV +9.48%E +0.693%K +0.747%G +0.071%7.72I 12.95%NM 12.34%EV +0.514%E +0.067%K +0.076%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:25
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +11.96%E +0.854%K +0.920%G +0.110%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 19:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 19:20
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:20
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 78.80%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -3.65%E -0.494%K -0.571%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.04%EV +5.96%E +0.450%K +0.487%G +0.029%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -3.65%E -0.494%K -0.571%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:25
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -4.43%E -3.66%K -21.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 19:25
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.96%E +0.305%K +0.330%G +0.013%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:24
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.96%E +0.305%K +0.330%G +0.013%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.17%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.95%EV -6.03%E -0.513%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:19
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.58%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.17%EV -9.17%E -7.97%K -61.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.59%EV -9.96%E -8.74%K -71.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 77.72%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -6.26%E -0.869%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.53%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:44
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 19:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:20
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 17:15
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 17:15
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.58%EV -3.64%E -2.98%K -16.55%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -22.03%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:05
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.65%EV -2.06%E -1.66%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.03%E -2.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -14.07%E -2.13%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.65%EV -2.06%E -1.66%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.03%E -2.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -14.07%E -2.13%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:41
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 19:25
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:00
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 19:20
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:44
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.25%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 19:20
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:11
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 18:55
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 18:53
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -18.63%E -2.98%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.79%EV -9.96%E -8.74%K -71.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.29%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -28.39%E -5.16%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 17:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%0.4%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.90%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%0.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.90%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.84%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%0.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%2.0%2026-05-16 17:35