Die Schule der Quoten

Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

Endstand: Sporting Lisbon 3–0 Gil Vicente

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Heim)

Prognose 78.98%1.27faire Quote
EV -1.27%
Vorteil -1.02%
Kelly -5.09%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.65%78.92%78.98%80.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.141.191.181.2587.72%84.35%84.75%80.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Gil Vicente (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.00%12.50faire Quote
EV +11.96%
Vorteil +0.854%
Kelly +0.920%
Wachstum +0.110%

bei einer Höchstquote von 14.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.74%8.02%7.95%10.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
9.2511.4911.5014.0010.81%8.70%8.70%7.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 13.02%7.68faire Quote
EV +10.67%
Vorteil +1.26%
Kelly +1.42%
Wachstum +0.152%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.97%13.06%13.07%15.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.506.967.008.5018.18%14.37%14.29%11.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.70%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +10.67%E +1.26%K +1.42%G +0.152%7.2%2026-05-16 19:20
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.94%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 10.09%EV -22.75%E -2.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.97%EV +5.98%E +0.735%K +0.838%G +0.050%2.6%2026-05-16 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +4.16%E +0.520%K +0.594%G +0.025%7.0%2026-05-16 19:05
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.79%EV -9.17%E -7.97%K -61.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -16.03%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV +4.16%E +0.520%K +0.594%G +0.025%9.0%2026-05-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.97%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV +0.904%E +0.117%K +0.134%G +0.001%7.8%2026-05-16 19:20
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 80.71%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%13.69I 7.30%NM 6.96%EV +9.48%E +0.693%K +0.747%G +0.071%7.72I 12.95%NM 12.34%EV +0.514%E +0.067%K +0.076%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:25
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +11.96%E +0.854%K +0.920%G +0.110%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 19:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 19:20
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -2.35%E -0.313%K -0.362%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 19:20
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 78.80%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -3.65%E -0.494%K -0.571%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.04%EV +5.96%E +0.450%K +0.487%G +0.029%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -3.65%E -0.494%K -0.571%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:25
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -4.43%E -3.66%K -21.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 19:25
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.96%E +0.305%K +0.330%G +0.013%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:24
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +3.96%E +0.305%K +0.330%G +0.013%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.17%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.95%EV -6.03%E -0.513%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:19
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.58%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.17%EV -9.17%E -7.97%K -61.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.59%EV -9.96%E -8.74%K -71.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.52%EV -5.61%E -0.773%K -0.897%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 77.72%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -6.26%E -0.869%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -1.27%E -1.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.53%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:25
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:44
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 17:45
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 19:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.86%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:20
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 17:15
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 17:15
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.22%E -4.35%K -26.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:00
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.58%EV -3.64%E -2.98%K -16.55%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -22.03%E -2.26%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -12.12%E -1.79%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 19:05
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.65%EV -2.06%E -1.66%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.03%E -2.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -14.07%E -2.13%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.65%EV -2.06%E -1.66%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.03%E -2.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -14.07%E -2.13%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:41
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 19:25
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:53
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:00
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 19:20
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.80%E -5.76%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:44
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.25%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -20.03%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -15.37%E -2.36%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 19:20
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:11
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.01%E -5.05%K -31.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -0.036%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 18:55
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.59%E -6.49%K -44.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.03%E -0.699%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -16.67%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 18:53
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -8.38%E -7.22%K -52.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -12.03%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -18.63%E -2.98%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.79%EV -9.96%E -8.74%K -71.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.29%EV -4.03%E -0.336%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -28.39%E -5.16%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 17:18
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%0.4%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.90%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%0.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.90%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.84%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%0.9%2026-05-16 19:25
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%2.0%2026-05-16 17:35