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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
+ 新增模型所有模型

Sporting Lisbon v Arouca

開賽時間： 2026-09-19 19:32 UTC

最終賽果： Sporting Lisbon 2–2 Arouca

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

55 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sporting Lisbon (主隊)

預測 81.15%1.23公平賠率
EV -4.24%
優勢 -3.59%
Kelly -23.57%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.18

博彩公司預測分布
78.90%81.01%81.30%84.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.111.151.161.1890.09%86.75%86.21%84.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Arouca (客隊)

預測 6.44%15.54公平賠率
EV +15.86%
優勢 +0.881%
Kelly +0.933%
成長率 +0.148%

假設最高賠率為 18.00

博彩公司預測分布
5.14%6.51%6.32%8.16%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
11.0014.1014.0018.009.09%7.09%7.14%5.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 12.41%8.06公平賠率
EV +11.71%
優勢 +1.30%
Kelly +1.46%
成長率 +0.171%

假設最高賠率為 9.00

博彩公司預測分布
10.38%12.48%12.39%15.16%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.107.367.509.0016.39%13.59%13.33%11.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Sporting Lisbon (主隊)：81.15%；Arouca (客隊)：6.44%；和局：12.41%。 對於「Arouca (客隊)」，該估計相當於15.54的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為18.00，對應+15.86%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (55 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +9.43%E +0.555%K +0.589%G +0.056%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +11.71%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171%7.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +5.50%E +0.648%K +0.734%G +0.040%6.4%2026-09-19 19:09
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%17.30I 5.78%NM 5.57%EV +11.36%E +0.657%K +0.697%G +0.079%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.35%EV +5.38%E +0.634%K +0.718%G +0.039%3.8%2026-09-19 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.75%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.40%EV +1.78%E +0.217%K +0.247%G +0.004%6.9%2026-09-19 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:04
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 18:58
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.30%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +15.86%E +0.881%K +0.933%G +0.148%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:29
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +9.43%E +0.555%K +0.589%G +0.056%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 19:29
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.29%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 6.87%EV -12.46%E -0.916%K -0.989%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.83%EV -1.94%E -0.246%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.86%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.33%EV -5.06%E -0.343%K -0.368%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -1.94%E -0.246%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.82%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.93%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -3.81%E -0.491%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:54
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:02
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 19:27
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 18:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.93%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -25.98%E -2.26%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.68%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -10.01%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.68%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -10.01%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.45%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -29.19%E -2.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -10.01%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 19:20
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 19:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 17:54
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 19:13
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.22%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.29%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:41
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.22%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.29%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:41
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.22%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.29%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -9.11%E -8.13%K -75.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -22.76%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -19.32%E -2.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.06%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -24.29%E -3.98%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:19
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.06%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -24.29%E -3.98%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:19
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.57%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.09%0.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.91%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%0.7%2026-09-19 19:29
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.92%0.7%2026-09-19 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.72%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%0.9%2026-09-19 19:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.52%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.49%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%1.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.63%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.47%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.91%1.9%2026-09-19 19:29