Die Wettquotenschulewettquoten.schule
StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sporting Lisbon v Arouca

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-19 19:32 UTC

Endstand: Sporting Lisbon 2–2 Arouca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sporting Lisbon (Heim)

Prognose 81.15%1.23faire Quote
EV -4.24%
Vorteil -3.59%
Kelly -23.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.90%81.01%81.30%84.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.111.151.161.1890.09%86.75%86.21%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arouca (Auswärts)

Prognose 6.44%15.54faire Quote
EV +15.86%
Vorteil +0.881%
Kelly +0.933%
Wachstum +0.148%

bei einer Höchstquote von 18.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.14%6.51%6.32%8.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
11.0014.1014.0018.009.09%7.09%7.14%5.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 12.41%8.06faire Quote
EV +11.71%
Vorteil +1.30%
Kelly +1.46%
Wachstum +0.171%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.38%12.48%12.39%15.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.107.367.509.0016.39%13.59%13.33%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sporting Lisbon (Heim): 81.15%; Arouca (Auswärts): 6.44%; Unentschieden: 12.41%. Für Arouca (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 15.54. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 18.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +15.86%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +9.43%E +0.555%K +0.589%G +0.056%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +11.71%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171%7.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +5.50%E +0.648%K +0.734%G +0.040%6.4%2026-09-19 19:09
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.08%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%17.30I 5.78%NM 5.57%EV +11.36%E +0.657%K +0.697%G +0.079%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.35%EV +5.38%E +0.634%K +0.718%G +0.039%3.8%2026-09-19 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.75%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.40%EV +1.78%E +0.217%K +0.247%G +0.004%6.9%2026-09-19 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:04
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 18:58
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.30%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +15.86%E +0.881%K +0.933%G +0.148%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:29
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +9.43%E +0.555%K +0.589%G +0.056%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.702%E -0.088%K -0.100%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 19:29
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.29%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 6.87%EV -12.46%E -0.916%K -0.989%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.83%EV -1.94%E -0.246%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.86%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.33%EV -5.06%E -0.343%K -0.368%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -1.94%E -0.246%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.82%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.93%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -3.81%E -0.491%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:54
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:02
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 19:27
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 18:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.93%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -25.98%E -2.26%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -9.92%E -8.94%K -90.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -6.91%E -0.921%K -1.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.68%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -10.01%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.68%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -10.01%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.45%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -29.19%E -2.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -10.01%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 19:20
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 19:29
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -5.86%E -5.06%K -36.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -9.88%E -0.706%K -0.760%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 19:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 17:54
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.34%K -63.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 19:13
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -16.32%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.11%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.22%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.29%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:41
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.22%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.29%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:41
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.22%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.29%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -19.54%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -16.22%E -2.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -9.11%E -8.13%K -75.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -22.76%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -19.32%E -2.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -4.24%E -3.59%K -23.57%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -3.45%E -0.230%K -0.246%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.06%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -24.29%E -3.98%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:19
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.06%EV -5.05%E -4.32%K -29.73%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +2.99%E +0.187%K +0.199%G +0.006%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -24.29%E -3.98%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.57%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.34%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.09%0.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.91%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%0.7%2026-09-19 19:29
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.96%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.92%0.7%2026-09-19 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.72%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%0.9%2026-09-19 19:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.52%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.49%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%1.1%2026-09-19 19:29
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.63%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.47%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.91%1.9%2026-09-19 19:29