Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.25
avec la cote maximale 15.00
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sporting Lisbon (Local) : 77.25% ; Alverca (Visiteur) : 8.36% ; Match nul : 14.39%. Pour Alverca (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.96. 20 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +25.38%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +25.38%E +1.69%K +1.81%G +0.460% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.22%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 12.65I 7.91%NM 7.58%EV +5.74%E +0.454%K +0.493%G +0.028% | 7.26I 13.77%NM 13.20%EV +4.50%E +0.620%K +0.719%G +0.032% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +4.48%E +0.359%K +0.390%G +0.017% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -17.95%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +4.48%E +0.359%K +0.390%G +0.017% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -17.95%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -4.99%E -4.05%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -10.04%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV +3.64%E +0.505%K +0.587%G +0.021% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +7.96%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -17.23%E -3.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.34%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 11.65I 8.58%NM 8.03%EV -2.62%E -0.225%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -10.04%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -2.12%E -0.312%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -2.84%E -0.420%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.73%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.42%EV -10.14%E -0.944%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.84%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.96%EV -4.21%E -3.40%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -10.04%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -4.21%E -3.40%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -4.21%E -3.40%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 19:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.41%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -16.41%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -2.84%E -0.420%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.41%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -20.59%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.61% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.90% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.49% | 0.0% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.44% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.3% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.92% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.92% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |