Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sporting Lisbon (Local): 77.25%; Alverca (Visitante): 8.36%; Empate: 14.39%. Para Alverca (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.96. 20 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 15.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +25.38%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +25.38%E +1.69%K +1.81%G +0.460% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV +8.66%E +0.666%K +0.722%G +0.063% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.22%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 12.65I 7.91%NM 7.58%EV +5.74%E +0.454%K +0.493%G +0.028% | 7.26I 13.77%NM 13.20%EV +4.50%E +0.620%K +0.719%G +0.032% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +4.48%E +0.359%K +0.390%G +0.017% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -17.95%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +4.48%E +0.359%K +0.390%G +0.017% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -17.95%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -4.99%E -4.05%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -10.04%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV +3.64%E +0.505%K +0.587%G +0.021% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +7.96%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -17.23%E -3.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +0.305%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.34%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 11.65I 8.58%NM 8.03%EV -2.62%E -0.225%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.17%EV -10.39%E -8.96%K -64.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.88%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -11.17%E -9.71%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -3.87%E -0.337%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.04%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.760%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -10.04%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -2.12%E -0.312%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -2.84%E -0.420%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -9.62%E -8.22%K -56.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -8.05%E -0.732%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -7.88%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.73%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.42%EV -10.14%E -0.944%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.84%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.96%EV -4.21%E -3.40%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -10.04%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -4.21%E -3.40%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -4.21%E -3.40%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 19:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 19:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -12.23%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -16.41%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -7.30%E -6.09%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -16.41%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -2.84%E -0.420%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.41%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -20.59%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.44%E -0.990%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.61% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.90% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.49% | 0.0% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.10% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.44% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.3% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.92% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.92% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.64% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |