Language:English
Santa Clara v Vitória SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santa Clara (Local)
Prediction 38.10%2.62fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.61%38.07%38.10%38.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.452.5742.55%40.90%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vitória SC (Visit)
Prediction 30.70%3.26fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.76%30.74%30.70%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.93%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.20%3.20fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.08%31.19%31.20%32.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.52%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santa Clara (Local): 38.10%; Vitória SC (Visit): 30.70%; Draw: 31.20%. For Vitória SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -2.09%E -0.814%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%EV -3.29%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -4.21%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 20:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.36%EV -3.62%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.75%E -0.548%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.21%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 20:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.90%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 20:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.04%E -2.89%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -4.21%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 19:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 20:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.04%E -5.01%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -15.75%E -5.83%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.16%EV -9.71%E -4.10%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 20:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 20:20 |