La escuela de los momios

Santa Clara v Vitória SC

Inicio: 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santa Clara (Local)

Predicción 38.10%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.814%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.61%38.07%38.10%38.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.452.452.5742.55%40.90%40.82%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vitória SC (Visitante)

Predicción 30.70%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.798%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.76%30.74%30.70%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.93%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.20%3.20momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.08%31.19%31.20%32.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.52%33.33%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -2.09%E -0.814%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%EV -3.29%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -4.21%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:20
BetUS2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:19
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:20
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:19
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 38.36%EV -3.62%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.75%E -0.548%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.21%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 20:13
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:14
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:09
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 20:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 20:14
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 37.90%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:24
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:00
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:24
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:34
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:34
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:19
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 19:10
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:25
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:25
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:50
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.04%E -2.89%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -4.21%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:24
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:25
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 19:34
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 20:24
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 20:19
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 20:20
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 20:24
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:25
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:24
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 20:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 20:15
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 20:19
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.04%E -5.01%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -15.75%E -5.83%K -9.27%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 20:25
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.16%EV -9.71%E -4.10%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 20:19
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 20:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-03-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.4%2026-03-08 20:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11%3.0%2026-03-08 20:20