L’École des cotes

Santa Clara v Vitória SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santa Clara (Local)

Prévision 38.10%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.814%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.61%38.07%38.10%38.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.452.452.5742.55%40.90%40.82%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vitória SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.70%3.26cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -0.798%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.76%30.74%30.70%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.93%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.20%3.20cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.08%31.19%31.20%32.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.52%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -2.09%E -0.814%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%EV -3.29%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -4.21%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:20
BetUS2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:19
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:20
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.47%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -2.98%E -0.944%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:19
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 38.36%EV -3.62%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.75%E -0.548%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.21%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 20:13
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 20:14
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:09
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 20:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.97%E -3.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 20:14
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 37.90%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:24
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:00
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.52%E -2.23%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:24
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:34
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:34
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 19:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 20:14
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 20:19
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 19:10
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:25
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:25
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:50
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.04%E -2.89%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -4.21%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 20:24
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -5.44%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:25
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 19:34
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 20:24
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -7.81%E -3.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.02%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 20:19
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.27%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 20:20
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 20:24
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:25
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 20:24
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 20:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -7.95%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 20:15
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.90%E -2.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 20:19
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.04%E -5.01%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -15.75%E -5.83%K -9.27%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 20:25
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.16%EV -9.71%E -4.10%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 20:19
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 20:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.43%E -3.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-03-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-03-08 20:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.4%2026-03-08 20:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11%3.0%2026-03-08 20:20