StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Santa Clara v Nacional

Matchstart: 2026-08-10 19:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Santa Clara (Hemma)

Prognos 49.68%2.01rättvist odds
EV -2.14%
Fördel -1.08%
Kelly -2.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.28%49.76%49.56%51.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.751.861.851.9757.14%53.82%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nacional (Borta)

Prognos 20.40%4.90rättvist odds
EV +2.01%
Fördel +0.402%
Kelly +0.502%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.21%20.39%20.55%21.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.524.505.0023.81%22.11%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.92%3.34rättvist odds
EV -2.76%
Fördel -0.848%
Kelly -1.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.39%29.85%29.89%32.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.133.113.2533.33%31.95%32.15%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Santa Clara (Hemma): 49.68%; Nacional (Borta): 20.40%; Oavgjort: 29.92%. För Nacional (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.90. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.01%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +2.01%E +0.402%K +0.502%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +2.01%E +0.402%K +0.502%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -4.12%E -2.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.02%EV -1.87%E -0.388%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 19:05
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.02%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 19:05
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.40%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 19:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 19:10
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:00
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.21%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 19:04
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.28%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.65%EV -5.54%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.07%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 18:55
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 18:55
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -6.11%E -3.23%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 19:00
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.28%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -9.21%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 19:00
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -9.21%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 19:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 19:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.63%EV -8.14%E -2.65%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.63%EV -11.08%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.63%EV -11.08%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.50%EV -9.59%E -5.27%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-10 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 18:55
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 18:29
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 19:10
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.72%EV -13.06%E -7.47%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.51%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 18:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.17%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-08-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.17%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-08-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.17%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-08-10 19:10
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18%0.4%2026-08-10 19:10
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-08-10 19:10
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-08-10 19:05