Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Santa Clara (Local): 49.68%; Nacional (Visitante): 20.40%; Empate: 29.92%. Para Nacional (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.90. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.01%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +2.01%E +0.402%K +0.502%G +0.010% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +2.01%E +0.402%K +0.502%G +0.010% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -4.12%E -2.14%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.02%EV -1.87%E -0.388%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-10 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.02%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.40%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.07%E -0.431%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.21%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-10 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.28%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.65%EV -5.54%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.07%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -6.11%E -3.23%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-10 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.28%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -9.21%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.61%E -3.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -9.21%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.63%EV -8.14%E -2.65%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.63%EV -11.08%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.63%EV -11.08%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.50%EV -9.59%E -5.27%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -11.57%E -6.50%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.56%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -11.25%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -11.66%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.72%EV -13.06%E -7.47%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -12.27%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.51%EV -4.62%E -2.41%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -13.29%E -3.13%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -14.31%E -3.41%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:45 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.17% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.30% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 0.5% | 2026-08-10 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 19:05 |