默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rio Ave FC v Alverca

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rio Ave FC (主队)

预测 34.08%2.93公平赔率
EV -1.17%
优势 -0.405%
Kelly -0.618%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
32.41%34.15%34.04%36.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.702.702.9040.00%37.08%37.04%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alverca (客队)

预测 36.94%2.71公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -0.793%
Kelly -1.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.26%36.83%36.94%37.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.21%39.22%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.98%3.45公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -0.433%
Kelly -0.613%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.01%29.02%29.02%30.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.223.253.4035.71%31.06%30.77%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rio Ave FC (主队):34.08%;Alverca (客队):36.94%;平局:28.98%。 对于“Rio Ave FC (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.93。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.90,期望值为-1.17%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -8.01%E -3.22%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 11:20
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.81%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.54%E -0.887%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.18%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%EV -2.47%E -0.936%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%EV -2.47%E -0.936%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:55
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.37%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -5.43%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 10:00
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.85%EV -8.75%E -3.54%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:43
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.86%EV -6.53%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -1.47%E -0.433%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:54
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -9.59%E -3.07%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.90%E -2.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.90%E -2.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:39
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:40
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.89%EV -9.01%E -3.38%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -10.38%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.38%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.34%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -18.86%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-04 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 16:54
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 16:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-04-04 16:45
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.28%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.65%2.2%2026-04-04 16:55