L’École des cotes

Rio Ave FC v Alverca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rio Ave FC (Local)

Prévision 34.08%2.93cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.405%
Kelly -0.618%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.41%34.15%34.04%36.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.9040.00%37.08%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alverca (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.94%2.71cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.793%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.26%36.83%36.94%37.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.21%39.22%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.98%3.45cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.433%
Kelly -0.613%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.01%29.02%29.02%30.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.223.253.4035.71%31.06%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -8.01%E -3.22%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 11:20
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.81%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 16:50
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.54%E -0.887%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.18%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 16:54
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%EV -2.47%E -0.936%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%EV -2.47%E -0.936%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:55
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.37%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -5.43%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 10:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.85%EV -8.75%E -3.54%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:43
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:15
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.86%EV -6.53%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:54
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -1.47%E -0.433%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:39
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:40
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:54
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -9.59%E -3.07%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 16:55
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.90%E -2.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.90%E -2.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:39
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:38
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:50
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:39
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.89%EV -9.01%E -3.38%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:19
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -10.38%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.38%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.34%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -18.86%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-04 16:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:01
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:10
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:09
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 16:54
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-04-04 16:45
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.28%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.65%2.2%2026-04-04 16:55