مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rio Ave FC v Alverca

البداية: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rio Ave FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.08%2.93السعر العادل
EV -1.17%
الأفضلية -0.405%
Kelly -0.618%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.41%34.15%34.04%36.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.702.702.9040.00%37.08%37.04%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alverca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.94%2.71السعر العادل
EV -2.10%
الأفضلية -0.793%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.26%36.83%36.94%37.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.21%39.22%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.98%3.45السعر العادل
EV -1.47%
الأفضلية -0.433%
Kelly -0.613%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.01%29.02%29.02%30.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.223.253.4035.71%31.06%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -1.17%E -0.405%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -8.01%E -3.22%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 11:20
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.81%EV -2.20%E -0.765%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 16:50
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.54%E -0.887%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.18%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 16:54
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%EV -2.47%E -0.936%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%EV -2.47%E -0.936%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:55
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.37%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -5.43%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 10:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.85%EV -8.75%E -3.54%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:43
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 14:15
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -5.26%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.86%EV -6.53%E -2.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:54
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -1.47%E -0.433%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:39
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:40
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:54
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -9.59%E -3.07%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 16:55
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.90%E -2.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.90%E -2.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.92%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:39
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:38
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:50
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:39
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.89%EV -9.01%E -3.38%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 16:39
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.49%E -3.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:19
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -10.38%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.38%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.34%E -4.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -18.86%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-04 16:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.64%E -3.06%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:01
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:10
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.10%E -0.793%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:54
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -2.84%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:09
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.95%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.82%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:10
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 16:54
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -5.79%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:55
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-04 16:54
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-04-04 16:45
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.28%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.65%2.2%2026-04-04 16:55