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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Nacional v Famalicão

開賽時間： 2026-09-19 14:31 UTC

最終賽果： Nacional 0–4 Famalicão

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

55 家博彩公司 (19 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Nacional (主隊)

預測 23.00%4.35公平賠率
EV +1.21%
優勢 +0.274%
Kelly +0.355%
成長率 +0.004%

假設最高賠率為 4.40

博彩公司預測分布
21.73%23.04%23.00%25.27%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.553.934.004.4028.17%25.42%25.00%22.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Famalicão (客隊)

預測 48.62%2.06公平賠率
EV -1.78%
優勢 -0.881%
Kelly -1.75%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.02

博彩公司預測分布
46.25%48.54%48.71%49.96%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.801.931.932.0255.56%51.77%51.81%49.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 28.37%3.52公平賠率
EV -3.53%
優勢 -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.40

博彩公司預測分布
27.26%28.42%28.29%29.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.263.303.4032.26%30.68%30.30%29.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Nacional (主隊)：23.00%；Famalicão (客隊)：48.62%；和局：28.37%。 對於「Nacional (主隊)」，該估計相當於4.35的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.40，對應+1.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (55 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.21%E +0.274%K +0.355%G +0.004%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.56%EV -4.09%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:16
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -1.09%E -0.254%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:24
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -1.09%E -0.254%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.09%E -0.254%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:06
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 14:21
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 14:20
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 14:26
Marathon Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -8.10%E -4.29%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:25
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 14:26
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.05%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:21
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:05
Coolbet🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.57%EV -7.07%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 14:11
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:05
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:06
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:20
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 14:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 14:21
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:15
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:21
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:16
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:24
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:25
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:09
GTbets🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.62%EV -8.45%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.97%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.41%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 14:00
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:15
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 14:06
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -13.05%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.76%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.58%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:11
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:26
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:26
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:26
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -14.89%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 14:06
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -16.04%E -4.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 14:06
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -17.19%E -4.78%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -17.19%E -4.78%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:26
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -17.19%E -4.78%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 14:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 14:26
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.98%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99%-0.0%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-19 14:26
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-19 14:26
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-19 14:26