Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)
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Nacional v Famalicão

Początek: 2026-09-19 14:31 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nacional 0–4 Famalicão

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Nacional (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 23.00%4.35kurs godziwy
EV +1.21%
Przewaga +0.274%
Kelly +0.355%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.73%23.04%23.00%25.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.553.934.004.4028.17%25.42%25.00%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Famalicão (Goście)

Prognoza 48.62%2.06kurs godziwy
EV -1.78%
Przewaga -0.881%
Kelly -1.75%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.25%48.54%48.71%49.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.931.932.0255.56%51.77%51.81%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.37%3.52kurs godziwy
EV -3.53%
Przewaga -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.26%28.42%28.29%29.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.263.303.4032.26%30.68%30.30%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Nacional (Gospodarze): 23.00%; Famalicão (Goście): 48.62%; Remis: 28.37%. Dla wyniku Nacional (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.35. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.21%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.21%E +0.274%K +0.355%G +0.004%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.56%EV -4.09%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:16
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -1.09%E -0.254%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:24
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -1.09%E -0.254%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.09%E -0.254%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:06
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 14:21
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 14:20
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 14:26
Marathon Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -8.10%E -4.29%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:25
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 14:26
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.05%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:21
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:05
Coolbet🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.57%EV -7.07%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 14:11
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:05
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:06
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:20
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:02
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 14:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 14:21
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:15
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:21
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:16
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:24
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:25
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:09
GTbets🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.62%EV -8.45%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.97%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.41%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 14:00
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:15
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 14:06
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -13.05%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.76%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%EV -8.35%E -2.58%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:11
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:26
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:26
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:26
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -1.78%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.74%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -14.89%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -4.94%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 14:06
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -16.04%E -4.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 14:06
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -17.19%E -4.78%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:26
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -17.19%E -4.78%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 14:26
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -17.19%E -4.78%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 14:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -18.34%E -5.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 14:26
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.98%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99%-0.0%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-19 14:26
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-19 14:26
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-09-19 14:26