赔率学院

Moreirense FC v Nacional

开赛时间: 2026-03-07 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Moreirense FC (主队)

预测 37.56%2.66公平赔率
EV -2.33%
优势 -0.898%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.11%37.71%37.52%39.74%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.282.452.452.6043.86%40.87%40.82%38.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

Nacional (客队)

预测 32.39%3.09公平赔率
EV +2.03%
优势 +0.644%
Kelly +0.943%
增长率 +0.019%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.65%32.31%32.34%33.88%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.632.932.903.1538.02%34.13%34.48%31.75%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.05%3.33公平赔率
EV -0.246%
优势 -0.074%
Kelly -0.106%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.32

博彩公司预测分布
28.68%29.98%30.14%30.95%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.093.053.3235.71%32.37%32.79%30.12%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:39
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:39
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.85%E -5.54%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.85%E -5.54%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -1.21%E -0.397%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -14.35%E -6.30%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -1.21%E -0.397%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -2.18%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.52%EV -2.95%E -0.913%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:52
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.50%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.36%EV -3.15%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 15:20
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:43
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.47%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:24
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:14
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:20
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -2.71%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 15:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS2.51I 39.84%NM 37.45%EV -5.72%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -6.25%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 15:19
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:20
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:19
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 15:09
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:44
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:09
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:09
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:19
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -7.04%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 15:19
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.14%EV -4.59%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.76%EV -4.75%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:09
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:19
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:20
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:53
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 15:19
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 15:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -14.81%E -5.63%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -15.87%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 14:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-07 15:24
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%2.6%2026-03-07 15:25