Oddsskolan

Moreirense FC v Nacional

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 15:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Moreirense FC (Hemma)

Prognos 37.56%2.66rättvist odds
EV -2.33%
Fördel -0.898%
Kelly -1.46%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.11%37.71%37.52%39.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.282.452.452.6043.86%40.87%40.82%38.46%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Nacional (Borta)

Prognos 32.39%3.09rättvist odds
EV +2.03%
Fördel +0.644%
Kelly +0.943%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.65%32.31%32.34%33.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.632.932.903.1538.02%34.13%34.48%31.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.05%3.33rättvist odds
EV -0.246%
Fördel -0.074%
Kelly -0.106%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.68%29.98%30.14%30.95%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.803.093.053.3235.71%32.37%32.79%30.12%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:39
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:39
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.85%E -5.54%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.85%E -5.54%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -1.21%E -0.397%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -14.35%E -6.30%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -1.21%E -0.397%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -2.18%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.52%EV -2.95%E -0.913%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:52
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.50%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.36%EV -3.15%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 15:20
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:43
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.47%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:24
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:14
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:20
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -2.71%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 15:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS2.51I 39.84%NM 37.45%EV -5.72%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -6.25%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 15:19
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:20
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:19
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 15:09
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:44
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:09
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:09
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:19
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -7.04%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 15:19
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.14%EV -4.59%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.76%EV -4.75%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:09
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:19
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:20
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:53
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 15:19
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 15:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -14.81%E -5.63%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -15.87%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-07 15:24
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%2.6%2026-03-07 15:25