Школа коэффициентов

Moreirense FC v Nacional

Начало: 2026-03-07 15:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Moreirense FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 37.56%2.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.33%
Преимущество -0.898%
Kelly -1.46%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.11%37.71%37.52%39.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.282.452.452.6043.86%40.87%40.82%38.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nacional (Гости)

Прогноз 32.39%3.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.03%
Преимущество +0.644%
Kelly +0.943%
Рост +0.019%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.65%32.31%32.34%33.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.932.903.1538.02%34.13%34.48%31.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.05%3.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.246%
Преимущество -0.074%
Kelly -0.106%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.32

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.68%29.98%30.14%30.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.093.053.3235.71%32.37%32.79%30.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:39
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:39
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:39
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +2.03%E +0.644%K +0.943%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -12.48%E -5.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.85%E -5.54%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.85%E -5.54%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV +0.408%E +0.132%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -1.21%E -0.397%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:40
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -14.35%E -6.30%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -1.21%E -0.397%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -2.18%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.52%EV -2.95%E -0.913%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:52
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.50%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.36%EV -3.15%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 15:20
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:43
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.47%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:24
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:14
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 15:20
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -2.71%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -0.246%E -0.074%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 15:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS2.51I 39.84%NM 37.45%EV -5.72%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -6.25%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 15:19
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:20
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:19
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 15:09
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:44
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:09
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -8.36%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:09
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:19
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 15:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -7.04%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 15:19
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.14%EV -4.59%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.76%EV -4.75%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:09
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -2.33%E -0.898%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -2.35%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:19
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:20
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:53
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.31%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 15:19
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.86%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 15:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -14.81%E -5.63%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -15.87%E -5.67%K -8.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-07 15:24
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%2.6%2026-03-07 15:25