La scuola delle quote

Gil Vicente v AVS Futebol SAD

Inizio: 2026-04-03 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gil Vicente (Casa)

Previsione 68.16%1.47quota equa
EV -4.58%
Vantaggio -3.27%
Kelly -11.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.23%68.11%67.97%70.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.371.381.4075.19%72.87%72.46%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AVS Futebol SAD (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.37%8.79quota equa
EV +6.46%
Vantaggio +0.690%
Kelly +0.772%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.30%11.45%11.45%13.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.088.009.3614.29%12.38%12.50%10.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.47%4.89quota equa
EV +2.35%
Vantaggio +0.470%
Kelly +0.588%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.57%20.44%20.57%22.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.544.505.0025.00%22.03%22.22%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.36%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.30%EV +6.46%E +0.690%K +0.772%G +0.050%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -2.97%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 14:25
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%EV +4.64%E +0.504%K +0.565%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +0.305%E +0.062%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%EV +4.64%E +0.504%K +0.565%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +0.305%E +0.062%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +2.36%E +0.262%K +0.295%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:20
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +2.36%E +0.262%K +0.295%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:19
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.90%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 14:20
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 68.60%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.74%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.66%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 14:25
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.65%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.01%EV -2.19%E -0.254%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.33%EV -9.11%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 14:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.68%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 14:20
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 14:20
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.23%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.91%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 14:25
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:20
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.38%EV -6.17%E -0.748%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 14:06
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:25
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:18
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:44
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.35%E +0.470%K +0.588%G +0.014%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:24
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:18
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 14:25
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 14:19
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 14:20
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 14:18
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 14:20
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.93%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 14:20
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -10.15%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -10.15%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 14:20
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 14:15
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -17.54%E -2.42%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 14:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 14:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:15
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%1.4%2026-04-03 14:20
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-04-03 14:15