La escuela de los momios

Gil Vicente v AVS Futebol SAD

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gil Vicente (Local)

Predicción 68.16%1.47momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -3.27%
Kelly -11.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.23%68.11%67.97%70.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.381.4075.19%72.87%72.46%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AVS Futebol SAD (Visitante)

Predicción 11.37%8.79momio equitativo
EV +6.46%
Ventaja +0.690%
Kelly +0.772%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.30%11.45%11.45%13.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.088.009.3614.29%12.38%12.50%10.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.47%4.89momio equitativo
EV +2.35%
Ventaja +0.470%
Kelly +0.588%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.57%20.44%20.57%22.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.544.505.0025.00%22.03%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.36%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.30%EV +6.46%E +0.690%K +0.772%G +0.050%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -2.97%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 14:25
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%EV +4.64%E +0.504%K +0.565%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +0.305%E +0.062%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%EV +4.64%E +0.504%K +0.565%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +0.305%E +0.062%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +2.36%E +0.262%K +0.295%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:20
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +2.36%E +0.262%K +0.295%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:19
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.90%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 14:20
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 68.60%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.74%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.66%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 14:25
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.65%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.01%EV -2.19%E -0.254%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.33%EV -9.11%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 14:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.68%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 14:20
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 14:20
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.23%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.91%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 14:25
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:20
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.38%EV -6.17%E -0.748%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 14:06
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:25
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:18
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:44
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.35%E +0.470%K +0.588%G +0.014%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:24
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:18
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 14:25
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 14:19
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 14:20
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 14:18
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 14:20
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.93%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 14:20
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -10.15%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -10.15%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 14:20
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 14:15
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -17.54%E -2.42%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 14:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:15
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%1.4%2026-04-03 14:20
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-04-03 14:15