L’École des cotes

Gil Vicente v AVS Futebol SAD

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gil Vicente (Local)

Prévision 68.16%1.47cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -3.27%
Kelly -11.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.23%68.11%67.97%70.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.371.381.4075.19%72.87%72.46%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AVS Futebol SAD (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.37%8.79cote équitable
EV +6.46%
Avantage +0.690%
Kelly +0.772%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 9.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.30%11.45%11.45%13.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.088.009.3614.29%12.38%12.50%10.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.47%4.89cote équitable
EV +2.35%
Avantage +0.470%
Kelly +0.588%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.57%20.44%20.57%22.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.544.505.0025.00%22.03%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.36%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.30%EV +6.46%E +0.690%K +0.772%G +0.050%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -2.97%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 14:25
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%EV +4.64%E +0.504%K +0.565%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +0.305%E +0.062%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.70%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.53%EV +4.64%E +0.504%K +0.565%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +0.305%E +0.062%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +2.36%E +0.262%K +0.295%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:20
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +2.36%E +0.262%K +0.295%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:19
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.90%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 14:20
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 68.60%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.74%EV -0.482%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.66%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 14:25
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.65%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.01%EV -2.19%E -0.254%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.33%EV -9.11%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 14:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.68%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 14:20
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 14:20
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.23%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.91%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 14:25
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.33%E -0.391%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:20
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.38%EV -6.17%E -0.748%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 14:06
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:25
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:20
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 14:18
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:44
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.35%E +0.470%K +0.588%G +0.014%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:24
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:18
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 14:25
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 14:19
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 14:20
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 14:18
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 14:20
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.93%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.01%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 14:20
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -10.15%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.26%E -3.79%K -13.49%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -10.15%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -8.91%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 14:20
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 14:15
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -14.70%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -5.94%E -4.31%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -17.54%E -2.42%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 14:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.582%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -20.39%E -2.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.84%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.55%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-03 14:15
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.42%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%1.4%2026-04-03 14:20
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-04-03 14:15