A Escola das Odds

Gil Vicente v Arouca

Início: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Final: Gil Vicente 1–3 Arouca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gil Vicente (Local)

Previsão 57.51%1.74odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -4.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.81%57.51%57.48%59.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.31%61.73%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arouca (Visitante)

Previsão 18.79%5.32odd justa
EV -0.432%
Vantagem -0.081%
Kelly -0.100%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.64%18.77%18.83%20.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.504.914.905.3022.22%20.38%20.41%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.70%4.22odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -0.691%
Kelly -0.914%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.80%23.72%23.69%26.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.853.854.1030.30%25.99%25.97%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.31%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -7.01%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.46%EV -7.81%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 16:25
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.85%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV -0.432%E -0.081%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.82%EV -3.31%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 18:35
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 18:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:10
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:10
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:13
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:14
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:10
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.23%EV -0.995%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -3.31%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 17:19
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 18:09
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.45%EV -4.02%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 15:39
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 17:19
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 17:19
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -13.50%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:10
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -13.50%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.37%E -0.261%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:09
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.01%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.01%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 16:23
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:09
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 15:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 18:14
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:20
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.10%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 16:24
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:09
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:14
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -11.70%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 18:09
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 15:39
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.13%E -5.78%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 15:39
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -0.432%E -0.081%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.83%E -0.691%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.79%E -6.60%K -9.48%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-11 16:24
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -10.85%E -7.00%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-11 18:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-11 18:34
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35