مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gil Vicente v Arouca

البداية: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Gil Vicente 1–3 Arouca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gil Vicente (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.51%1.74السعر العادل
EV -2.80%
الأفضلية -1.66%
Kelly -4.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.81%57.51%57.48%59.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.31%61.73%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arouca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.79%5.32السعر العادل
EV -0.432%
الأفضلية -0.081%
Kelly -0.100%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.64%18.77%18.83%20.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.914.905.3022.22%20.38%20.41%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.70%4.22السعر العادل
EV -2.83%
الأفضلية -0.691%
Kelly -0.914%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.80%23.72%23.69%26.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.853.854.1030.30%25.99%25.97%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.31%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -7.01%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.46%EV -7.81%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 16:25
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.85%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV -0.432%E -0.081%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.82%EV -3.31%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 18:35
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 18:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:10
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:10
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:13
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:14
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:10
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.23%EV -0.995%E -0.189%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -3.31%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 17:19
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 18:09
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.10%E -3.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.45%EV -4.02%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 15:39
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 17:19
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 17:19
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -13.50%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:10
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -6.25%E -3.84%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -13.50%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.37%E -0.261%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:09
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.01%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.01%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 16:23
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:09
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 15:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.83%E -4.21%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 18:14
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:20
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.10%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 16:24
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:09
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.13%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:14
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -7.40%E -4.60%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -11.70%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 18:09
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.39%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 15:39
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.13%E -5.78%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 15:39
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -0.432%E -0.081%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.83%E -0.691%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.79%E -6.60%K -9.48%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-11 16:24
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -10.85%E -7.00%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -8.76%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-11 18:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-11 18:34
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-05-11 18:35