La scuola delle quote

Gil Vicente v Alverca

Inizio: 2026-03-14 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gil Vicente (Casa)

Previsione 54.59%1.83quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -1.91%
Kelly -4.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.36%54.71%54.50%56.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.99%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alverca (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.80%5.32quota equa
EV +3.40%
Vantaggio +0.618%
Kelly +0.756%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.04%18.71%18.81%19.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.085.005.5022.22%19.70%20.00%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.61%3.76quota equa
EV -0.197%
Vantaggio -0.053%
Kelly -0.072%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.94%26.57%26.69%28.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.77%28.99%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.00%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.00%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 17:45
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:25
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.69%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.69%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.69%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.14%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.90%EV +1.33%E +0.247%K +0.304%G +0.004%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.95%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -9.93%E -6.02%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -0.358%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -9.93%E -6.02%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -0.358%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:25
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.74%EV -11.03%E -6.76%K -17.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -0.358%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -1.30%E -0.247%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:45
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.57%EV -11.57%E -7.14%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -1.30%E -0.247%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:54
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.31%EV -7.75%E -4.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:35
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.91%EV -3.55%E -0.693%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.29%EV -1.79%E -0.486%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.12%E -0.808%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.197%E -0.053%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 06:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -11.57%E -7.14%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -4.12%E -0.808%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -1.53%E -0.413%K -0.566%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 17:35
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:55
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 21:24
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:45
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:35
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:35
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.84%E -3.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.94%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.94%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:25
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -6.94%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.27%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.88%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:45
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.42%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -7.88%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 10:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 10:45
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.39%EV -11.03%E -6.76%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:55
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:45
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 17:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:25
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 17:49
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -11.64%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.64%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -15.40%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 17:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-03-14 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-03-14 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.59%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-14 17:45
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.2%2026-03-14 14:40