مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gil Vicente v Alverca

البداية: 2026-03-14 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gil Vicente (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.59%1.83السعر العادل
EV -3.38%
الأفضلية -1.91%
Kelly -4.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.36%54.71%54.50%56.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.99%58.82%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alverca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.80%5.32السعر العادل
EV +3.40%
الأفضلية +0.618%
Kelly +0.756%
النمو +0.026%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.04%18.71%18.81%19.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.085.005.5022.22%19.70%20.00%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.61%3.76السعر العادل
EV -0.197%
الأفضلية -0.053%
Kelly -0.072%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.94%26.57%26.69%28.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.77%28.99%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.00%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.00%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 17:45
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.40%E +0.618%K +0.756%G +0.026%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:25
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:25
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.69%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.69%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.69%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV +1.52%E +0.282%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.14%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.90%EV +1.33%E +0.247%K +0.304%G +0.004%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.95%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -9.93%E -6.02%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -0.358%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -9.93%E -6.02%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -0.358%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:25
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.74%EV -11.03%E -6.76%K -17.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -0.358%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -1.30%E -0.247%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:45
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.57%EV -11.57%E -7.14%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -1.30%E -0.247%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:54
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.31%EV -7.75%E -4.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -2.24%E -0.430%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:35
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.91%EV -3.55%E -0.693%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.29%EV -1.79%E -0.486%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.12%E -0.808%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.197%E -0.053%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 06:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -11.57%E -7.14%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -4.12%E -0.808%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -1.53%E -0.413%K -0.566%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 17:35
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:55
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 21:24
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:45
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:35
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:35
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -9.39%E -5.66%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -6.00%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.84%E -3.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.94%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.94%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:25
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -6.94%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.27%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.88%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:45
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.42%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -7.88%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 10:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 10:45
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.39%EV -11.03%E -6.76%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -9.76%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:55
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:45
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 17:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:25
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 17:49
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.70%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -11.64%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.64%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -15.40%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-03-14 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-03-14 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.59%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-14 17:45
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.2%2026-03-14 14:40