La scuola delle quote

FC Porto v Famalicão

Inizio: 2026-04-04 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Porto (Casa)

Previsione 67.31%1.49quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -3.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.23%67.35%67.28%69.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.381.381.4675.76%72.58%72.46%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Famalicão (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.96%8.36quota equa
EV +14.78%
Vantaggio +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
Crescita +0.254%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.09%11.83%12.08%13.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.007.938.009.6014.29%12.61%12.50%10.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.74%4.82quota equa
EV -0.462%
Vantaggio -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.55%20.82%20.64%23.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.474.504.8026.67%22.35%22.22%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%EV +14.78%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.254%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 19:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%EV +14.78%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.254%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 19:00
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.63%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.44%EV +10.00%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.122%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.93%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +7.60%E +0.845%K +0.951%G +0.072%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 19:14
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 19:01
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 19:01
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.27%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -9.79%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:15
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.72%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 19:13
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:09
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:01
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:01
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.76%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 19:04
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.50%EV -1.73%E -1.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.87%EV -2.20%E -0.269%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.63%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 19:25
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:04
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:00
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:09
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 17:34
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:01
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:01
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 19:01
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -10.48%E -7.88%K -31.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 17:34
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -9.81%E -7.32%K -28.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.76%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 19:01
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -9.81%E -7.32%K -28.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.76%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 19:01
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.10%EV -11.15%E -8.45%K -34.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.79%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 19:01
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -7.94%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:04
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.01%EV -3.75%E -2.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.29%EV -8.18%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -9.79%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:39
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.08%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -5.65%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 19:01
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:19
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:04
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:01
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -10.21%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 19:24
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.83%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -10.48%E -7.88%K -31.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -22.24%E -5.93%K -8.09%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-04 17:10
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.75%E -2.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -11.53%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.75%E -2.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -11.53%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.49%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -13.32%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -7.72%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -13.32%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:45
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:45
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:45
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 19:14
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -4.42%E -3.12%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -10.83%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.69%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-04-04 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.69%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-04-04 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.17%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.4%2026-04-04 19:24
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.84%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-04-04 19:19
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.84%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-04-04 19:10
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-04-04 19:20