مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Porto v Famalicão

البداية: 2026-04-04 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Porto (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.31%1.49السعر العادل
EV -1.73%
الأفضلية -1.19%
Kelly -3.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.23%67.35%67.28%69.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.381.381.4675.76%72.58%72.46%68.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Famalicão (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.96%8.36السعر العادل
EV +14.78%
الأفضلية +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
النمو +0.254%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.09%11.83%12.08%13.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.007.938.009.6014.29%12.61%12.50%10.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.74%4.82السعر العادل
EV -0.462%
الأفضلية -0.096%
Kelly -0.122%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.55%20.82%20.64%23.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.474.504.8026.67%22.35%22.22%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%EV +14.78%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.254%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 19:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%EV +14.78%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.254%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 19:00
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.63%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.44%EV +10.00%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.122%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.93%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +7.60%E +0.845%K +0.951%G +0.072%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 19:14
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 19:01
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 19:01
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.27%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -9.79%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:15
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.72%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 19:13
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:09
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:01
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:01
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +1.63%E +0.191%K +0.217%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.76%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 19:04
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.50%EV -1.73%E -1.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.87%EV -2.20%E -0.269%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.63%EV -6.89%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 19:25
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:04
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:00
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:09
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 17:34
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:01
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:01
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 19:01
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -10.48%E -7.88%K -31.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 17:34
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -9.81%E -7.32%K -28.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.76%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 19:01
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -9.81%E -7.32%K -28.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.76%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 19:01
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.10%EV -11.15%E -8.45%K -34.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -4.35%E -0.544%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.79%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 19:01
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -7.94%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 19:04
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.01%EV -3.75%E -2.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.29%EV -8.18%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -9.79%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:39
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.08%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -5.65%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 19:01
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -7.12%E -5.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:19
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.90%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:04
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.61%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 19:01
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -10.21%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 19:24
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -9.14%E -6.77%K -26.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.83%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -10.48%E -7.88%K -31.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -10.33%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -22.24%E -5.93%K -8.09%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-04 17:10
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.75%E -2.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -11.53%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -3.75%E -2.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -11.53%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.87%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.49%EV -6.44%E -4.64%K -16.52%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -13.32%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -7.72%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.46%E -6.22%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -13.32%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:45
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -0.462%E -0.096%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:45
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.50%E -0.316%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:45
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.77%E -4.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.68%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 19:14
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -4.42%E -3.12%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.31%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -10.83%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 19:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.69%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-04-04 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.69%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-04-04 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.17%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.4%2026-04-04 19:24
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.84%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-04-04 19:19
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.84%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-04-04 19:10
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.57%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-04-04 19:20