Idioma:Español
FC Porto v Arouca
Resultado del partido
FC Porto (Local)
Predicción 78.75%1.27momio equitativo
EV -4.71%
Ventaja -3.89%
Kelly -22.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.90%78.68%78.74%79.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.84%84.75%82.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arouca (Visitante)
Predicción 6.91%14.47momio equitativo
EV +0.192%
Ventaja +0.013%
Kelly +0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.36%6.93%6.89%8.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
10.0013.0713.0014.5010.00%7.65%7.69%6.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 14.34%6.97momio equitativo
EV +3.23%
Ventaja +0.449%
Kelly +0.521%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.97%14.39%14.37%16.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.606.366.507.2017.86%15.72%15.38%13.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Porto (Local): 78.75%; Arouca (Visitante): 6.91%; Empate: 14.34%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.97. 5 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.23%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV +3.23%E +0.449%K +0.521%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 20:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.55%EV -6.28%E -5.28%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.12%EV -8.10%E -0.609%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.33%EV +1.80%E +0.253%K +0.295%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.363%E +0.052%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -17.08%E -1.42%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +0.363%E +0.052%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 02:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -17.08%E -1.42%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +0.363%E +0.052%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 01:28 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.84%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 14.45I 6.92%NM 6.52%EV -0.153%E -0.011%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.63%EV -0.927%E -0.134%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.56%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.22%E -0.477%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.71%E -3.89%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 20:47 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 01:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.81%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.55%EV -8.65%E -7.45%K -54.04%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.88%EV -8.45%E -0.637%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -10.39%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 20:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.97%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.97%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.28%E -5.28%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -3.26%E -0.233%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -13.97%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.97%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 20:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -10.17%E -0.783%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.97%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 20:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -17.08%E -1.42%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -13.97%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 23:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.22%E -8.97%K -73.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -17.08%E -1.42%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -13.97%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.66%EV -9.43%E -8.20%K -62.90%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.40%EV -27.45%E -2.61%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -15.41%E -2.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -27.45%E -2.61%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -17.56%E -3.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.47%EV -6.28%E -5.28%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.36%EV +0.192%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -18.28%E -3.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.47%EV -6.28%E -5.28%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.36%EV +0.192%E +0.013%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -18.28%E -3.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.90%EV -10.22%E -8.97%K -73.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.65%EV -30.90%E -3.09%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.45%EV -19.71%E -3.52%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.70% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 01:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.60% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 7.67% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
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