La scuola delle quote

Famalicão v Nacional

Inizio: 2026-03-21 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Famalicão (Casa)

Previsione 59.89%1.67quota equa
EV -2.38%
Vantaggio -1.46%
Kelly -3.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.34%59.91%60.09%62.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.73%63.69%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nacional (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.43%5.74quota equa
EV +4.57%
Vantaggio +0.761%
Kelly +0.913%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.45%17.35%17.30%18.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.325.256.0020.41%18.80%19.05%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.68%4.41quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -0.520%
Kelly -0.677%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.65%22.74%22.60%24.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.034.004.3127.78%24.82%25.00%23.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:23
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.00%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.53%EV +1.60%E +0.275%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.47%EV -2.69%E -0.628%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:19
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV +1.08%E +0.186%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 15:25
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.69%EV +0.210%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.69%EV +0.210%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:25
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.22%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.28%EV -2.23%E -0.398%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.50%EV -2.24%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.97%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:25
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.63%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:23
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.63%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:35
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:19
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:39
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:09
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.10%EV -4.84%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.82%EV -11.09%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:18
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:24
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.15%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -7.63%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 15:24
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:15
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 15:22
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.93%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.41%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:25
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.93%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.41%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.45%EV -7.77%E -5.04%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.34%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:04
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:05
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:04
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:25
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -18.34%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 15:24
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -14.60%E -2.98%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 15:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.06%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%0.1%2026-03-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:25
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.95%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.2%2026-03-21 15:24