مدرسة الاحتمالات

Famalicão v Nacional

البداية: 2026-03-21 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Famalicão (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.89%1.67السعر العادل
EV -2.38%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -3.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.34%59.91%60.09%62.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.73%63.69%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nacional (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.43%5.74السعر العادل
EV +4.57%
الأفضلية +0.761%
Kelly +0.913%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.45%17.35%17.30%18.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.325.256.0020.41%18.80%19.05%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.68%4.41السعر العادل
EV -2.24%
الأفضلية -0.520%
Kelly -0.677%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.65%22.74%22.60%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.034.004.3127.78%24.82%25.00%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:23
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.00%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.53%EV +1.60%E +0.275%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.47%EV -2.69%E -0.628%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:19
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV +1.08%E +0.186%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 15:25
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.69%EV +0.210%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.69%EV +0.210%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:25
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.22%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.28%EV -2.23%E -0.398%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.50%EV -2.24%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.97%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:25
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.63%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:23
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.63%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:35
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:19
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:39
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:09
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.10%EV -4.84%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.82%EV -11.09%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:18
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:24
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.15%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -7.63%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 15:24
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:15
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 15:22
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.93%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.41%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:25
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.93%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.41%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.45%EV -7.77%E -5.04%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.34%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:04
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:05
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:04
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:25
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -18.34%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 15:24
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -14.60%E -2.98%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 15:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.06%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%0.1%2026-03-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:25
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.95%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.2%2026-03-21 15:24