Die Schule der Quoten

Famalicão v Nacional

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 15:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Famalicão (Heim)

Prognose 59.89%1.67faire Quote
EV -2.38%
Vorteil -1.46%
Kelly -3.78%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.34%59.91%60.09%62.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.73%63.69%61.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Nacional (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.43%5.74faire Quote
EV +4.57%
Vorteil +0.761%
Kelly +0.913%
Wachstum +0.042%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.45%17.35%17.30%18.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.905.325.256.0020.41%18.80%19.05%16.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.68%4.41faire Quote
EV -2.24%
Vorteil -0.520%
Kelly -0.677%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.65%22.74%22.60%24.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.604.034.004.3127.78%24.82%25.00%23.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +4.57%E +0.761%K +0.913%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:23
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.00%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.53%EV +1.60%E +0.275%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.47%EV -2.69%E -0.628%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:19
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV +1.08%E +0.186%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 15:25
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.69%EV +0.210%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.73%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.69%EV +0.210%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:25
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.22%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.28%EV -2.23%E -0.398%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.50%EV -2.24%E -0.520%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.97%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:25
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.63%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:23
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.40%E -0.429%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.63%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:35
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:19
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:39
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.15%E -0.754%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:09
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.10%EV -4.84%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.82%EV -11.09%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:18
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -5.89%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:24
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.15%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -7.63%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 15:24
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:09
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:15
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.50%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 15:22
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.93%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.41%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:25
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.93%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.41%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.45%EV -7.77%E -5.04%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:24
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:25
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.34%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -3.58%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:04
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:05
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 15:04
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 15:24
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 15:25
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.86%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -18.34%E -5.10%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 15:24
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -14.60%E -2.98%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 15:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.06%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%0.1%2026-03-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:25
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.95%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.2%2026-03-21 15:24