A Escola das Odds

Famalicão v Alverca

Início: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

Final: Famalicão 1–0 Alverca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Famalicão (Local)

Previsão 61.18%1.63odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -4.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.75%61.23%61.16%62.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.521.531.5970.42%65.61%65.36%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alverca (Visitante)

Previsão 16.08%6.22odd justa
EV +1.78%
Vantagem +0.281%
Kelly +0.334%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.05%16.07%16.07%17.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.255.705.756.3319.05%17.56%17.39%15.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.74%4.40odd justa
EV +0.077%
Vantagem +0.017%
Kelly +0.023%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.84%22.69%22.77%24.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.074.054.4027.78%24.54%24.69%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.47%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.10%EV +1.78%E +0.281%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.44%EV -3.11%E -0.729%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -0.308%E -0.050%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -2.20%E -0.511%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:40
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:15
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.74%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.74%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.46%E -6.39%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 18:53
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.99%EV -2.73%E -1.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.24%EV -4.01%E -0.671%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.76%EV -3.11%E -0.729%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 19:20
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.34%E -2.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.14%EV -4.49%E -0.756%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.16%EV -5.84%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.13%E -0.870%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:41
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.13%E -0.870%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.84%EV -13.13%E -9.25%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -5.13%E -0.870%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 19:02
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.33%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -5.94%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -6.74%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -1.52%E -0.350%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 18:35
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:44
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 18:41
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 18:35
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 19:25
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 18:35
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 18:39
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.87%EV -8.35%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 19:01
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:01
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -10.68%E -7.32%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV +0.077%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -10.68%E -7.32%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.24%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 19:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:01
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:01
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 18:35
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:01
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 18:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 18:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -2.20%E -0.511%K -0.666%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -18.12%E -5.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-16 19:06
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 19:00
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.01%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 19:00
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.17%EV -7.62%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 19:06
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -14.78%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 19:05
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 59.75%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -15.58%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 18:36
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 59.75%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -15.58%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:20
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.42%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-16 18:36
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.66%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-05-16 19:20