مدرسة الاحتمالات

Famalicão v Alverca

البداية: 2026-05-16 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Famalicão 1–0 Alverca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Famalicão (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.18%1.63السعر العادل
EV -2.73%
الأفضلية -1.72%
Kelly -4.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.75%61.23%61.16%62.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.521.531.5970.42%65.61%65.36%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alverca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.08%6.22السعر العادل
EV +1.78%
الأفضلية +0.281%
Kelly +0.334%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.05%16.07%16.07%17.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.255.705.756.3319.05%17.56%17.39%15.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.74%4.40السعر العادل
EV +0.077%
الأفضلية +0.017%
Kelly +0.023%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.84%22.69%22.77%24.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.074.054.4027.78%24.54%24.69%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.47%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.10%EV +1.78%E +0.281%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.44%EV -3.11%E -0.729%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -0.308%E -0.050%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 19:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -2.20%E -0.511%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:40
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:15
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.74%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.74%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.46%E -6.39%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -3.52%E -0.587%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 18:53
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.99%EV -2.73%E -1.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.24%EV -4.01%E -0.671%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.76%EV -3.11%E -0.729%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 19:20
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.34%E -2.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.14%EV -4.49%E -0.756%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.16%EV -5.84%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.13%E -0.870%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:41
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.13%E -0.870%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.84%EV -13.13%E -9.25%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -5.13%E -0.870%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 19:02
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.33%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -5.94%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -6.74%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -1.52%E -0.350%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 18:35
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:44
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 18:41
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 18:35
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 18:41
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 19:25
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 18:35
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.54%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 18:39
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -10.07%E -6.85%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.87%EV -8.35%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 19:01
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:01
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -10.68%E -7.32%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV +0.077%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -10.68%E -7.32%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.24%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 19:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:01
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:01
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 19:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 18:35
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:01
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 19:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 18:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.47%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 18:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -2.20%E -0.511%K -0.666%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.91%E -8.27%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -11.56%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -18.12%E -5.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-16 19:06
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 19:00
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.01%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 19:00
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.17%EV -7.62%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -13.17%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 19:06
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -14.78%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 19:05
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 59.75%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -15.58%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 18:36
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 59.75%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -15.58%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -7.88%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 18:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:20
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-16 19:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.42%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-16 18:36
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.66%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-05-16 19:20