مدرسة الاحتمالات

Estoril v Casa Pia

البداية: 2026-03-07 20:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Estoril (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.95%1.82السعر العادل
EV -3.84%
الأفضلية -2.19%
Kelly -5.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.03%55.06%54.94%57.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.89%58.82%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casa Pia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.65%4.84السعر العادل
EV +2.40%
الأفضلية +0.485%
Kelly +0.607%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.25%20.56%20.64%21.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.534.504.9623.81%22.08%22.22%20.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.40%4.10السعر العادل
EV +0.055%
الأفضلية +0.013%
Kelly +0.018%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.19%24.38%24.42%26.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.773.754.1030.30%26.50%26.67%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.72%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV +2.40%E +0.485%K +0.607%G +0.015%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.73%EV -4.34%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 20:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -0.900%E -0.187%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -0.900%E -0.187%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:23
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.43%EV -2.96%E -0.631%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +0.055%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.43%EV -2.96%E -0.631%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +0.055%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 20:09
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.34%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -2.96%E -0.631%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:16
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -2.96%E -0.631%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -2.96%E -0.631%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:09
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -4.00%E -0.860%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.73%EV -0.677%E -0.166%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 20:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.03%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -3.61%E -0.913%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:09
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.03%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.41%EV -5.80%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 20:15
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.03%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 09:54
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.03%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 09:54
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.03%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 20:04
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.03%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.15%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 20:23
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -6.06%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 07:59
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -4.94%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -4.94%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 08:00
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -3.61%E -0.913%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:19
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:09
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:49
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 07:59
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 10:19
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:39
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:39
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:39
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:39
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:39
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.49%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:39
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:25
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:25
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:25
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 10:19
Sky Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.33%E -5.66%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.39%E -0.596%K -0.795%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 20:24
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -10.93%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 09:55
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -10.93%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 09:55
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -10.93%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 09:55
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 20:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.93%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 09:54
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.93%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 09:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -7.09%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -19.47%E -5.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 20:25
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.16%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.61%E -0.913%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 20:09
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.16%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 07:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.47%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.16%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 20:15
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.16%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.15%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 09:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -10.43%E -6.40%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.16%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 20:19
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -9.16%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -13.37%E -3.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 19:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.60%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -11.22%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 20:09
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.29%E -3.16%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 20:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 20:24
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-07 20:25
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-03-07 20:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-03-07 20:05