Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 4.07
assuming max odds 3.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CS Maritimo (Local): 46.51%; Académico de Viseu (Visit): 24.37%; Draw: 29.12%. For Académico de Viseu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.07, with an expected value of -0.825%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.75%EV -0.825%E -0.203%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.98%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -7.89%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.72%EV -3.02%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.96%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.85%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.80%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.80%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.63%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 14:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -13.50%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 04:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.41%EV -9.11%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 14:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -13.49%E -7.25%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -13.49%E -7.25%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -13.96%E -7.54%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |