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CS Maritimo v Académico de Viseu
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CS Maritimo (Local)
Predicción 46.51%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.53%46.53%46.51%48.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.971.982.1054.05%50.68%50.51%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Académico de Viseu (Visitante)
Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -0.825%
Ventaja -0.203%
Kelly -0.269%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.33%24.41%25.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.804.0728.57%26.10%26.32%24.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.727%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.06%29.14%29.08%30.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.3533.33%31.20%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CS Maritimo (Local): 46.51%; Académico de Viseu (Visitante): 24.37%; Empate: 29.12%. Para Académico de Viseu (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.10. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.07, con un valor esperado de -0.825%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.75%EV -0.825%E -0.203%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.98%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -7.89%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.72%EV -3.02%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.96%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.85%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.80%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.80%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.63%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 14:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -13.50%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 04:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.41%EV -9.11%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 14:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -13.49%E -7.25%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -13.49%E -7.25%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -13.96%E -7.54%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |